**Cards and odds updated as of UFC 200 fight day, 07/09/16
The highly-anticipated historic UFC 200 event is shaping up to be, as promised, one of the most exciting fight cards to date. And with that, comes a plethora of choices as to where to put your spare change should you choose to wager a friendly bet on one of those fights.
With just a few days leading up to the event, Jon Jones was pulled from the card, resulting in some opponent, lineup and odds changes. Good luck to all on their picks!
Jon Jones vs. Daniel Cormier for the UFC light heavyweight championship
Daniel Cormier vs. Anderson Silva (non-title light heavyweight bout), co-main event
Just three days prior to UFC 200, headliner Jon Jones was pulled from the card by USADA due to a potential Anti-Doping Policy violation as a result of an out-of-competition sample collected on June 16. Jones’ “B” sample also came back positive for the banned substance(s), which Jones and his manager declined to specify.
While the late setback for the UFC on one of the most anticipated cards in the promotion’s history was a tough blow, it didn’t stop the UFC from thinking fast on its feet in appointing former long-time UFC middleweight champion Anderson Silva as Jones’ replacement on less than two days’ notice.
Cormier has worked long and hard to exact revenge on Jones, and despite the last-minute shake-up, Cormier comes in at the -460 favorite over Silva (+410). These odds make Silva the biggest underdog bet o the card.
Cormier has trained long and hard to exact revenge on Jones, who was responsible for placing the only loss on Cormier’s seven-year career when he defeated DC at UFC 182 by unanimous decision. Since then, Cormier has gone on to impressively submit top light heavyweight contender Anthony Johnson at UFC 187 to earn the vacant UFC light heavyweight championship and defended it against Alexander Gustafsson at UFC 192, where he eked out a split decision win. Cormier’s continuation of success in the light heavyweight division has earned him the status of betting favorite in this match-up against Silva.
Silva has come a long way since 16 consecutive wins and 10 title defenses as the longest-reigning UFC middleweight champion of all time. Since losing the title to Chris Weidman at UFC 162 in July 2013, Silva went on to lose again to Weidman at UFC 168 due to a devastating leg fracture. Following a lengthy recovery, Silva’s return to the Octagon at UFC 183 against Nick Diaz was originally ruled a unanimous decision victory for Silva, but was later overturned to a no contest ruling after Silva tested positive for banned substances drostanolone and androsterone and Diaz tested positive for marijuana metabolites.
Silva’s latest contest against Michael Bisping at UFC Fight Night 84 resulted in a somewhat contested loss to Bisping via unanimous decision, resulting in Silva going 0-3-1 NC in his last four fights over the past three years. Understandably, this is why Silva comes in as the underdog against Cormier, but like any last-minute fight, anything can, and usually will, happen.
Brock Lesnar vs. Mark Hunt, heavyweight bout, co-main event
As announced at UFC 199, Brock Lesnar, who made his name as a professional wrestling superstar with World Wrestling Entertainment and later as a heavyweight champion with the UFC, will make a one-night-only return to compete at UFC 200. Lesnar, who has been absent from MMA competition for five years, went 4-3 with the UFC from 2008-2011, and is set to face No. 8-ranked heavyweight contender and knockout artist Mark Hunt.
Despite the intimidation factor of just the sheer size and presence of Brock Lesnar, he comes in as the underdog (+150) against Hunt (-160), whose experience, grit and power inside the Octagon has been proven time and time again. Lesnar’s hiatus for nearly four-and-a-half years, his retirement from MMA due to diverticulitis, relative inexperience and lack of longevity are likely the causes for Lesnar coming in as the underdog here.
Hunt enters the contest as the favorite following his first-round knockout of Frank Mir at UFC Fight Night 85 just a few short months ago. Prior to that, Hunt earned a first-round TKO victory over Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva at UFC 193. Hunt is 7-4-1 in the UFC with some of the most memorable KO highlight-reel finishes on record.
Miesha Tate vs. Amanda Nunes for the UFC women’s bantamweight championship,
Tate rides a five-fight winning streak into her first title defense against Amanda Nunes. Her UFC 196 submission win at UFC 196 over then-champion Holly Holm highlighted Tate’s long-known ability to stay strong, determined and focused throughout a fight, pulling out all the stops to realize her UFC championship dream. Betting odds have Tate as the favorite, perhaps for the first time in her UFC career, at -250. The keys to Tate’s win over Nunes are either in her submission skills or by going to distance to a decision win.
Nunes is known for her aggression and power, having won 75 percent of her fights by T/KO. Her submission victories lie at 17 percent compared to Tate at 39 percent. She has won just eight percent of her fights by decision, whereas Tate has won by decision 44 percent of the time. Nunes comes in as the underdog at +230, but has a chance if she is able to keep the fight standing. Given Tate’s ability to take a punch, however, she needs to have laser precision and power to back it up.
As always, betting lines will likely change between now and when the first bell rings to begin the event, so keep your eyes on things to see where to best place your bets. For now, here’s a quick breakdown of betting lines for UFC 200:
Main Card Betting Lines:
Miesha Tate (C) (18-5) -250
Amanda Nunes #4 (12-4) +230
Mark Hunt #8 (12-10-1) -160
Brock Lesnar (5-3) +150
Jon Jones #1 (22-1) -320
Daniel Cormer (C) (17-1) -460
Anderson Silva (33-7, 1 NC) +410
Frankie Edgar #1 (19-4-1) -130
Jose Aldo #1 (25-2) +110
Cain Velasquez #2 (13-2) -275
Travis Browne #7 (18-3-1) +235
Preliminary Card Betting Lines:
Cat Zingano #3 (9-1) -145
Julianna Pena #5 (8-2) +125
Johny Hendricks #6 (17-4) -105
Kelvin Gastelum #12 (12-2) +115
T.J. Dillashaw #1 (12-3) -370
Rafael Assuncao #3 (23-4) +310
Sage Northcutt (7-1) -325
Enrique Marin (9-3) +295
Early Preliminary Card Betting Lines:
Diego Sanchez (28-8) -105
Joe Lauzon (24-12) -115
Gegard Mousasi #8 (38-6-2) -260
Thiago Santos #15 (13-3) +240
Jim Miller (25-8-0, 1 NC) -265
Takanori Gomi (35-11-, 1 NC) +225
DISCLAIMER: Betting lines documented in this post may be taken from more than one source and may change prior to the fight. As always, know your local, state and national laws before placing any type of bet. MixFighter.com makes no specific recommendations or endorsements toward betting or sites which offer betting or real money fantasy style betting that are mentioned in this article or otherwise. MixFighter.com assumes no legal responsibility for a reader’s interpretation of odds or bets placed as a result of this article.
*Betting lines per 5dimes.eu as of 07.09.16